WTPN51 PGTW 111500 WARNING ATCG MIL 15W NWP 140911125339 2014091112 15W FIFTEEN 004 01 305 18 SATL 060 T000 138N 1369E 025 T012 148N 1338E 030 T024 153N 1312E 035 T036 157N 1290E 045 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD T048 163N 1268E 055 R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD T072 174N 1238E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 115 SW QD 120 NW QD T096 186N 1200E 080 T120 204N 1152E 090 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z --- NEAR 13.8N 136.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 136.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 14.8N 133.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 15.3N 131.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 15.7N 129.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 16.3N 126.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 17.4N 123.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 18.6N 120.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 20.4N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 111500Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 136.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 267 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z. // 1514090900 91N1513E 15 1514090906 91N1502E 15 1514090912 92N1488E 15 1514090918 92N1475E 15 1514091000 91N1461E 15 1514091006 90N1441E 15 1514091012 96N1426E 20 1514091018 101N1409E 25 1514091100 111N1397E 25 1514091106 127N1384E 25 1514091112 138N1369E 25 NNNN