WTPN51 PGTW 110900 WARNING ATCG MIL 15W NWP 140911073626 2014091106 15W FIFTEEN 003 01 320 20 SATL 050 T000 127N 1384E 025 T012 142N 1358E 030 T024 149N 1331E 035 T036 153N 1304E 045 R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD T048 157N 1282E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD T072 167N 1249E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 115 SW QD 120 NW QD T096 179N 1216E 080 T120 194N 1171E 090 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 138.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 138.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 14.2N 135.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 14.9N 133.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 15.3N 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 15.7N 128.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 16.7N 124.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 17.9N 121.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 19.4N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 110900Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 137.8E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 193 NM NORTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z. // 1514090900 91N1513E 15 1514090906 91N1502E 15 1514090912 92N1488E 15 1514090918 92N1475E 15 1514091000 91N1461E 15 1514091006 90N1441E 15 1514091012 96N1426E 20 1514091018 101N1409E 25 1514091100 111N1397E 25 1514091106 127N1384E 25 NNNN