WTPN 31 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 34.5N2 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 34.5N2 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 36.3N2 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 38.2N3 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 39.4N6 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 41.4N9 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 091137Z1 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATION AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE TD 14W IS MOVING AROUND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND APPROACHING AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND MERGE INTO THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AS SUCH, TD 14W IS FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW ALONG THE BOUNDARY BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AS IT MOVES ALONG THIS TRACK, FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH THE DOMINATE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. TD 14W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH 12 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT BECOMES AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND MERGES INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4, 100900Z0 AND 101500Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (JELAWAT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN