WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 30.7N0 143.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N0 143.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 32.7N2 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 34.0N7 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 35.0N8 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 36.1N0 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 39.0N2 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 31.2N6 143.0E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE CONTINUES TO DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHWEST THROUGH 12 HOURS ALONG A WEAKNESS CREATED BY A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH, THEN TRACK INCREASINGLY NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081952Z5), 090300Z2 (DTG 090152Z7), 090900Z8 (DTG 090752Z3) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091352Z0). REFER TO TYPHOON 13W (JELAWAT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN