WTPN51 PGTW 150900 WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 150315072423 2015031506 03W BAVI 016 01 270 20 SATL 060 T000 141N 1465E 050 R034 125 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD T012 141N 1426E 050 R034 125 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 125 NW QD T024 143N 1394E 050 R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD T036 145N 1365E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 147N 1341E 040 R034 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 152N 1297E 035 T096 154N 1261E 030 T120 153N 1227E 025 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI) WARNING NR 016 1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z --- NEAR 14.1N 146.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 146.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 14.1N 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 14.3N 139.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 14.5N 136.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 14.7N 134.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 15.2N 129.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 15.4N 126.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 15.3N 122.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 150900Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 145.5E. TROPICAL STORM 03W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 78 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.// 0315031000 63N1766E 15 0315031006 63N1753E 20 0315031012 63N1741E 20 0315031018 63N1728E 20 0315031100 64N1715E 20 0315031106 69N1699E 20 0315031112 72N1684E 30 0315031118 74N1675E 35 0315031200 77N1666E 35 0315031206 80N1657E 35 0315031212 84N1646E 35 0315031218 88N1628E 40 0315031300 89N1614E 45 0315031306 95N1602E 45 0315031312 100N1588E 45 0315031318 110N1573E 50 0315031400 119N1548E 50 0315031406 127N1532E 45 0315031412 130N1518E 45 0315031418 134N1502E 45 0315031500 141N1486E 45 0315031506 141N1465E 50 NNNN