WTPN51 PGTW 192100 WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 140119201700 2014011918 01W LINGLING 008 01 150 06 SATL SYNP 040 T000 064N 1287E 025 T012 059N 1290E 020 T024 055N 1293E 020 AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (LINGLING) FINAL WARNING NR 008 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (LINGLING) FINAL WARNING 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z --- NEAR 6.4N 128.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 128.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 5.9N 129.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 5.5N 129.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z POSITION NEAR 6.3N 128.8E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W (LINGLING), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 344 NM WEST OF KOROR, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ISOLATED, FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED (ABOUT 30 KNOTS) TO THE NORTHWEST. A 191250Z METOP-A COMPOSITE MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEFINED LLCC. A 191415Z SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS A 15 TO 20 KNOT ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH STRONG (35+ KNOT) NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WELL NORTH OF CENTER. HOWEVER, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. MOREOVER, A 191500Z SHIP OBSERVATION, 72 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, REPORTS ONLY 10 KNOT WINDS WITH A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (SLP) OF 1013 MB. ADDITIONALLY, SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN AREA INDICATE SLP VALUES RANGING FROM 1011 MB TO 1013 MB. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO PERFORM POORLY DUE TO THE STRONG NORTHEASTERLY SURGE EVENT. THEREFORE, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF DISSIPATION OVER WATER PRIOR TO TAU 24. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 9 FEET.// 0114011312 75N1278E 15 0114011318 78N1273E 15 0114011400 83N1268E 15 0114011406 88N1265E 15 0114011412 94N1263E 15 0114011418 104N1263E 15 0114011500 114N1266E 15 0114011506 119N1270E 15 0114011512 119N1274E 15 0114011518 116N1279E 15 0114011600 109N1282E 15 0114011606 105N1283E 20 0114011612 101N1284E 20 0114011618 99N1283E 20 0114011700 98N1281E 20 0114011706 98N1279E 20 0114011712 98N1277E 20 0114011718 98N1274E 25 0114011800 95N1273E 30 0114011806 89N1278E 35 0114011812 84N1283E 35 0114011818 80N1284E 30 0114011900 73N1281E 30 0114011906 72N1282E 30 0114011912 69N1284E 25 0114011918 64N1287E 25 NNNN