WTPN51 PGTW 270300 WARNING ATCP MIL 10W NWP 110727014907 2011072700 10W NOCK-TEN 010 02 320 06 SATL 030 T000 156N 1221E 065 R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T012 168N 1199E 045 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD T024 179N 1174E 050 R034 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD T036 186N 1148E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 193N 1124E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD T072 199N 1088E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD T096 199N 1058E 050 T120 197N 1027E 020 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TYPHOON 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNING NR 010 1. TYPHOON 10W (NOCK-TEN) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 122.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 122.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 16.8N 119.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 17.9N 117.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 18.6N 114.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 19.3N 112.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 19.9N 108.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 19.9N 105.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 19.7N 102.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 121.6E. TYPHOON 10W (NOCK-TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS (35 TO 65 KNOTS) AND HAS DEVELOPED A SMALL, RAGGED EYE. UPGRADED TO TYPHOON INTENSITY BASED ON THE EYE AND DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS FROM PGTW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (ELEVEN) 1011072300 120N1318E 15 1011072306 121N1312E 15 1011072312 122N1306E 15 1011072318 122N1300E 20 1011072400 122N1295E 20 1011072406 124N1288E 20 1011072412 125N1284E 20 1011072418 126N1280E 25 1011072500 129N1274E 25 1011072506 134N1265E 30 1011072512 138N1253E 30 1011072518 140N1245E 30 1011072600 141N1241E 35 1011072606 143N1236E 40 1011072612 146N1231E 45 1011072618 151N1225E 55 1011072618 151N1225E 55 1011072700 156N1221E 65 1011072700 156N1221E 65 NNNN