WTPN51 PGTW 150300 WARNING ATCP MIL 08W NWP 110715015413 2011071500 08W MA-ON 015 01 275 11 SATL 020 T000 204N 1425E 110 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 140 NW QD T012 207N 1402E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD T024 212N 1383E 120 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 160 NW QD T036 219N 1363E 125 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 155 SE QD 155 SW QD 165 NW QD T048 229N 1348E 125 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 155 SE QD 155 SW QD 165 NW QD T072 257N 1326E 120 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 145 SE QD 145 SW QD 145 NW QD T096 291N 1320E 110 T120 326N 1326E 105 AMP SUBJ: TYPHOON 08W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 015 1. TYPHOON 08W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z --- NEAR 20.4N 142.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 142.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 20.7N 140.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 21.2N 138.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 21.9N 136.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 22.9N 134.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 25.7N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 29.1N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 32.6N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 150300Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 141.9E. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z. // 0811071006 184N1595E 15 0811071012 183N1590E 15 0811071018 182N1586E 15 0811071100 182N1582E 20 0811071106 182N1575E 25 0811071112 183N1567E 30 0811071118 184N1563E 30 0811071200 185N1558E 30 0811071206 186N1552E 35 0811071212 189N1545E 40 0811071218 192N1537E 45 0811071300 196N1528E 50 0811071306 198N1515E 55 0811071306 198N1515E 55 0811071312 198N1501E 65 0811071312 198N1501E 65 0811071318 199N1486E 80 0811071318 199N1486E 80 0811071318 199N1486E 80 0811071400 200N1473E 90 0811071400 200N1473E 90 0811071400 200N1473E 90 0811071406 201N1462E 90 0811071406 201N1462E 90 0811071406 201N1462E 90 0811071412 202N1450E 95 0811071412 202N1450E 95 0811071412 202N1450E 95 0811071418 203N1437E 100 0811071418 203N1437E 100 0811071418 203N1437E 100 0811071500 204N1425E 110 0811071500 204N1425E 110 0811071500 204N1425E 110 NNNN