WTPN51 PGTW 232100 WARNING ATCP MIL 04W NWP 110523190839 2011052318 04W SONGDA 015 01 285 07 SATL 060 T000 116N 1314E 055 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD T012 121N 1301E 060 R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 105 NW QD T024 128N 1286E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 115 NW QD T036 137N 1271E 080 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 115 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 148N 1258E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 125 NW QD T072 177N 1236E 110 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD T096 210N 1226E 115 T120 251N 1249E 105 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (SONGDA) WARNING NR 015 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (SONGDA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z --- NEAR 11.6N 131.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 131.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 12.1N 130.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 12.8N 128.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 13.7N 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 14.8N 125.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 17.7N 123.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 21.0N 122.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 25.1N 124.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 232100Z POSITION NEAR 11.7N 131.1E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 22 FEET. AT 052318 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED 634 NM ESE OF MANILA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z AND 242100Z. // 0411051812 78N1436E 15 0411051818 79N1432E 15 0411051900 79N1429E 15 0411051906 80N1426E 15 0411051912 81N1421E 15 0411051918 84N1413E 15 0411052000 85N1407E 20 0411052006 85N1402E 25 0411052012 86N1396E 30 0411052018 87N1390E 30 0411052100 88N1386E 30 0411052106 91N1381E 30 0411052112 94N1377E 35 0411052118 96N1373E 40 0411052200 98N1369E 45 0411052206 100N1364E 50 0411052212 103N1357E 55 0411052212 103N1357E 55 0411052218 106N1348E 55 0411052218 106N1348E 55 0411052300 109N1339E 60 0411052300 109N1339E 60 0411052306 112N1329E 60 0411052306 112N1329E 60 0411052312 114N1321E 60 0411052312 114N1321E 60 0411052318 116N1314E 55 0411052318 116N1314E 55 NNNN