WTPN51 PGTW 201500 WARNING ATCP MIL 15W NWP 101020132128 2010102012 15W MEGI 031 01 360 07 SATL SYNP XTRP 040 T000 184N 1172E 110 R064 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 095 SE QD 105 SW QD 105 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 175 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD T012 195N 1173E 110 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 180 SE QD 190 SW QD 190 NW QD T024 206N 1175E 105 R064 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 190 SW QD 190 NW QD T036 216N 1176E 100 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 170 NW QD T048 227N 1174E 090 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD T072 242N 1162E 065 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T096 251N 1150E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TYPHOON 15W (MEGI) WARNING NR 031 1. TYPHOON 15W (MEGI) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 18.4N 117.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N 117.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 19.5N 117.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 20.6N 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 21.6N 117.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 22.7N 117.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 24.2N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 25.1N 115.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 117.2E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z, 210900Z AND 211500Z. // 1510101018 125N1471E 15 1510101100 126N1464E 15 1510101106 127N1457E 15 1510101112 127N1450E 15 1510101118 126N1443E 20 1510101200 124N1435E 15 1510101206 122N1428E 20 1510101212 121N1421E 20 1510101218 120N1417E 20 1510101300 119N1414E 30 1510101306 118N1411E 35 1510101312 118N1408E 45 1510101318 119N1404E 50 1510101400 122N1399E 55 1510101400 122N1399E 55 1510101406 127N1392E 60 1510101406 127N1392E 60 1510101412 131N1385E 60 1510101412 131N1385E 60 1510101418 136N1378E 80 1510101418 136N1378E 80 1510101418 136N1378E 80 1510101500 142N1372E 90 1510101500 142N1372E 90 1510101500 142N1372E 90 1510101506 149N1365E 90 1510101506 149N1365E 90 1510101506 149N1365E 90 1510101512 158N1355E 90 1510101512 158N1355E 90 1510101512 158N1355E 90 1510101518 167N1343E 95 1510101518 167N1343E 95 1510101518 167N1343E 95 1510101600 174N1329E 90 1510101600 174N1329E 90 1510101600 174N1329E 90 1510101606 181N1315E 100 1510101606 181N1315E 100 1510101606 181N1315E 100 1510101612 184N1302E 105 1510101612 184N1302E 105 1510101612 184N1302E 105 1510101618 187N1288E 125 1510101618 187N1288E 125 1510101618 187N1288E 125 1510101700 187N1275E 140 1510101700 187N1275E 140 1510101700 187N1275E 140 1510101706 185N1262E 145 1510101706 185N1262E 145 1510101706 185N1262E 145 1510101712 181N1251E 160 1510101712 181N1251E 160 1510101712 181N1251E 160 1510101718 176N1242E 155 1510101718 176N1242E 155 1510101718 176N1242E 155 1510101800 175N1233E 145 1510101800 175N1233E 145 1510101800 175N1233E 145 1510101806 172N1218E 125 1510101806 172N1218E 125 1510101806 172N1218E 125 1510101812 168N1205E 95 1510101812 168N1205E 95 1510101812 168N1205E 95 1510101818 164N1197E 90 1510101818 164N1197E 90 1510101818 164N1197E 90 1510101900 163N1190E 90 1510101900 163N1190E 90 1510101900 163N1190E 90 1510101906 165N1184E 100 1510101906 165N1184E 100 1510101906 165N1184E 100 1510101912 167N1179E 100 1510101912 167N1179E 100 1510101912 167N1179E 100 1510101918 170N1176E 115 1510101918 170N1176E 115 1510101918 170N1176E 115 1510102000 172N1174E 115 1510102000 172N1174E 115 1510102000 172N1174E 115 1510102006 177N1172E 115 1510102006 177N1172E 115 1510102006 177N1172E 115 1510102012 184N1172E 110 1510102012 184N1172E 110 1510102012 184N1172E 110 NNNN