WTPN51 PGTW 151500 WARNING ATCP MIL 12W NWP 100915131330 2010091512 12W TWELVE 004 01 305 03 SATL 060 T000 208N 1276E 035 T012 214N 1273E 045 R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD T024 220N 1274E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 226N 1276E 060 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T048 233N 1277E 065 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 248N 1265E 065 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD T096 261N 1236E 075 T120 271N 1207E 070 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 12W (FANAPI) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL STORM 12W (FANAPI) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z --- NEAR 20.8N 127.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 127.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 21.4N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 22.0N 127.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 22.6N 127.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 23.3N 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 24.8N 126.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 26.1N 123.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 27.1N 120.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 151500Z POSITION NEAR 21.0N 127.5E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z. // 1210091218 158N1374E 15 1210091300 164N1364E 15 1210091306 169N1354E 15 1210091312 173N1344E 20 1210091318 175N1333E 20 1210091400 178N1319E 20 1210091406 182N1307E 20 1210091412 188N1299E 20 1210091418 194N1292E 30 1210091500 200N1285E 30 1210091506 206N1279E 30 1210091512 208N1276E 35 NNNN