WTPN51 PGTW 190300 WARNING ATCP MIL 04W NWP 100719004801 2010071900 04W FOUR 004 01 270 12 SATL 060 T000 153N 1181E 030 T012 162N 1170E 035 T024 173N 1163E 040 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD T036 185N 1155E 045 R034 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 198N 1149E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 221N 1137E 045 R034 045 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 248N 1127E 025 T120 272N 1118E 020 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z --- NEAR 15.3N 118.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N 118.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 16.2N 117.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 17.3N 116.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 18.5N 115.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 19.8N 114.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 22.1N 113.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 24.8N 112.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 27.2N 111.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 117.8E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND 200300Z. // 0410071618 154N1234E 15 0410071700 153N1232E 15 0410071706 152N1230E 15 0410071712 152N1228E 15 0410071718 152N1225E 20 0410071800 153N1219E 25 0410071806 154N1212E 30 0410071812 154N1204E 30 0410071818 153N1193E 25 0410071900 153N1181E 30 NNNN