WTPN51 PGTW 300900 WARNING ATCP MIL 26W NWP 091130070030 2009113006 26W NIDA 034 01 300 02 SATL 020 T000 196N 1391E 100 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 150 NW QD T012 199N 1385E 090 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 145 NW QD T024 202N 1378E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD T036 204N 1372E 065 R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 115 NW QD T048 205N 1367E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 085 SW QD 090 NW QD T072 204N 1360E 040 R034 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD T096 202N 1353E 030 T120 198N 1346E 020 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TYPHOON 26W (NIDA) WARNING NR 034 1. TYPHOON 26W (NIDA) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 19.6N 139.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 139.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 19.9N 138.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 20.2N 137.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 20.4N 137.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 20.5N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.4N 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 20.2N 135.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 19.8N 134.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 138.9E. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (NIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EYE HAS STARTED TO EXPAND RADIALLY OUTWARDS, INDICATING A WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AROUND THE EYEWALL HAVE BEEN UNDER COUNTINUOUS WARMING FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS AS WELL. THE INTENSITY FOR THE SYSTEM REMAINS AT 100 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD INDICATING THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN PERSISTING OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, THE OVERALL WEAKENING TREND WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCTS SHOW A LARGE INCREASE IN DRY AIR (30-40 MM) WRAPPING AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF TY 26W INTO THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. THIS FINGER OF DRY AIR HAS ALMOST COMPLETELY SURROUNDED THE CENTRAL REGION OF WARM/MOIST AIR (55 PLUS MM) AT THE CORE OF TY 26W. IN ADDITION THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF TY 26W HAS STARTED TO BE DEPRESSED BY A SHARP PUSH OF VERY DRY AIR (10-15 MM). THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT FOR TY 26W WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED AROUND TAU 120. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.// 2609112012 51N1491E 15 2609112018 52N1488E 15 2609112100 53N1485E 20 2609112106 56N1483E 20 2609112112 59N1484E 20 2609112118 62N1486E 20 2609112200 65N1487E 25 2609112206 68N1487E 30 2609112212 72N1486E 30 2609112218 75N1485E 30 2609112300 80N1483E 30 2609112306 84N1478E 35 2609112312 86N1470E 45 2609112318 86N1464E 50 2609112400 87N1459E 55 2609112400 87N1459E 55 2609112406 89N1455E 65 2609112406 89N1455E 65 2609112412 93N1450E 65 2609112412 93N1450E 65 2609112418 98N1443E 80 2609112418 98N1443E 80 2609112418 98N1443E 80 2609112500 107N1438E 100 2609112500 107N1438E 100 2609112500 107N1438E 100 2609112506 116N1430E 125 2609112506 116N1430E 125 2609112506 116N1430E 125 2609112512 126N1422E 150 2609112512 126N1422E 150 2609112512 126N1422E 150 2609112518 136N1414E 160 2609112518 136N1414E 160 2609112518 136N1414E 160 2609112600 145N1407E 150 2609112600 145N1407E 150 2609112600 145N1407E 150 2609112606 152N1400E 145 2609112606 152N1400E 145 2609112606 152N1400E 145 2609112612 158N1397E 145 2609112612 158N1397E 145 2609112612 158N1397E 145 2609112618 163N1393E 135 2609112618 163N1393E 135 2609112618 163N1393E 135 2609112700 169N1392E 130 2609112700 169N1392E 130 2609112700 169N1392E 130 2609112706 178N1392E 130 2609112706 178N1392E 130 2609112706 178N1392E 130 2609112712 183N1390E 135 2609112712 183N1390E 135 2609112712 183N1390E 135 2609112718 187N1390E 150 2609112718 187N1390E 150 2609112718 187N1390E 150 2609112800 190N1391E 150 2609112800 190N1391E 150 2609112800 190N1391E 150 2609112806 190N1392E 145 2609112806 190N1392E 145 2609112806 190N1392E 145 2609112812 191N1393E 140 2609112812 191N1393E 140 2609112812 191N1393E 140 2609112818 192N1394E 130 2609112818 192N1394E 130 2609112818 192N1394E 130 2609112900 193N1394E 125 2609112900 193N1394E 125 2609112900 193N1394E 125 2609112906 194N1394E 120 2609112906 194N1394E 120 2609112906 194N1394E 120 2609112912 194N1393E 120 2609112912 194N1393E 120 2609112912 194N1393E 120 2609112918 193N1393E 110 2609112918 193N1393E 110 2609112918 193N1393E 110 2609113000 195N1393E 100 2609113000 195N1393E 100 2609113000 195N1393E 100 2609113006 196N1391E 100 2609113006 196N1391E 100 2609113006 196N1391E 100 NNNN