WTPN52 PGTW 291500 WARNING ATCP MIL 23W NWP 091029125753 2009102912 23W MIRINAE 015 01 265 12 SATL 060 T000 157N 1294E 090 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD T012 154N 1267E 090 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD T024 153N 1242E 090 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 095 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD T036 153N 1218E 085 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 115 NW QD T048 154N 1193E 075 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 110 NW QD T072 150N 1133E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 105 NW QD T096 138N 1080E 050 T120 135N 1051E 020 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TYPHOON 23W (MIRINAE) WARNING NR 015 1. TYPHOON 23W (MIRINAE) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 15.7N 129.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 129.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 15.4N 126.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.3N 124.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 15.3N 121.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 15.4N 119.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 15.0N 113.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 13.8N 108.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 13.5N 105.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 128.7E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. // 2309102312 84N1624E 15 2309102318 89N1617E 15 2309102400 95N1608E 15 2309102406 98N1598E 15 2309102412 103N1588E 15 2309102418 112N1573E 15 2309102500 113N1551E 15 2309102506 114N1538E 15 2309102512 116N1533E 15 2309102518 118N1527E 20 2309102600 122N1513E 25 2309102606 127N1499E 30 2309102612 132N1484E 35 2309102618 136N1469E 35 2309102700 141N1454E 35 2309102706 148N1437E 40 2309102712 156N1422E 55 2309102712 156N1422E 55 2309102718 159N1402E 65 2309102718 159N1402E 65 2309102800 162N1385E 75 2309102800 162N1385E 75 2309102800 162N1385E 75 2309102806 162N1369E 85 2309102806 162N1369E 85 2309102806 162N1369E 85 2309102812 163N1353E 85 2309102812 163N1353E 85 2309102812 163N1353E 85 2309102818 163N1337E 85 2309102818 163N1337E 85 2309102818 163N1337E 85 2309102900 161N1322E 90 2309102900 161N1322E 90 2309102900 161N1322E 90 2309102906 158N1306E 90 2309102906 158N1306E 90 2309102906 158N1306E 90 2309102912 157N1294E 90 2309102912 157N1294E 90 2309102912 157N1294E 90 NNNN