WTPN51 PGTW 170900 WARNING ATCP MIL 22W NWP 091017073951 2009101706 22W LUPIT 014 01 325 07 SATL 040 T000 156N 1323E 095 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 125 NW QD T012 164N 1320E 100 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 125 NW QD T024 170N 1315E 105 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW QD 130 NW QD T036 173N 1308E 115 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD 115 SW QD 130 NW QD T048 176N 1294E 120 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 135 NW QD T072 181N 1257E 125 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 125 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 185N 1217E 130 T120 182N 1166E 110 AMP SUBJ: TYPHOON 22W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 014 1. TYPHOON 22W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z --- NEAR 15.6N 132.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 132.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 16.4N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 17.0N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 17.3N 130.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 17.6N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 18.1N 125.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 18.5N 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 18.2N 116.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 170900Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 132.2E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z, 180300Z AND 180900Z. // WP, 22, 2009101300, , BEST, 0, 88N, 1587E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 22, 2009101306, , BEST, 0, 92N, 1572E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101312, , BEST, 0, 94N, 1557E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101318, , BEST, 0, 98N, 1539E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101400, , BEST, 0, 101N, 1525E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 35, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101406, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1509E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101412, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1488E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101418, , BEST, 0, 110N, 1465E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 45, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101500, , BEST, 0, 117N, 1445E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101506, , BEST, 0, 121N, 1422E, 40, 993, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 50, 1009, 82, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101512, , BEST, 0, 124N, 1405E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 50, 1009, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101518, , BEST, 0, 127N, 1387E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 60, 1009, 185, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101518, , BEST, 0, 127N, 1387E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1009, 185, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101600, , BEST, 0, 132N, 1373E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 60, 1008, 450, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, M, WP, 22, 2009101600, , BEST, 0, 132N, 1373E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1008, 450, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, M, WP, 22, 2009101606, , BEST, 0, 138N, 1359E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 90, 80, 80, 95, 1006, 142, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101606, , BEST, 0, 138N, 1359E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 35, 1006, 142, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101612, , BEST, 0, 142N, 1343E, 75, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 85, 80, 120, 1007, 260, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101612, , BEST, 0, 142N, 1343E, 75, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 40, 30, 40, 1007, 260, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101612, , BEST, 0, 142N, 1343E, 75, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 20, 20, 1007, 260, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101618, , BEST, 0, 145N, 1332E, 85, 959, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 85, 80, 125, 1007, 240, 25, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101618, , BEST, 0, 145N, 1332E, 85, 959, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 40, 30, 40, 1007, 240, 25, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101618, , BEST, 0, 145N, 1332E, 85, 959, TY, 64, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1007, 240, 25, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101700, , BEST, 0, 150N, 1327E, 85, 959, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 85, 80, 125, 1005, 235, 20, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101700, , BEST, 0, 150N, 1327E, 85, 959, TY, 50, NEQ, 55, 50, 40, 50, 1005, 235, 20, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101700, , BEST, 0, 150N, 1327E, 85, 959, TY, 64, NEQ, 40, 35, 25, 30, 1005, 235, 20, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101706, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1323E, 95, 952, TY, 34, NEQ, 125, 90, 80, 125, 1005, 240, 25, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101706, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1323E, 95, 952, TY, 50, NEQ, 55, 55, 50, 55, 1005, 240, 25, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101706, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1323E, 95, 952, TY, 64, NEQ, 45, 40, 30, 35, 1005, 240, 25, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, NNNN