WTPN51 PGTW 161500 WARNING ATCP MIL 22W NWP 091016134226 2009101612 22W LUPIT 011 01 280 17 SATL 040 T000 142N 1343E 065 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 149N 1324E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD T024 155N 1315E 090 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 115 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD T036 159N 1311E 105 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 120 SE QD 115 SW QD 135 NW QD T048 162N 1306E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 135 NW QD T072 169N 1285E 120 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 125 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 177N 1249E 125 T120 185N 1201E 105 AMP SUBJ: TYPHOON 22W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 011 1. TYPHOON 22W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z --- NEAR 14.2N 134.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 134.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 14.9N 132.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 15.5N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 15.9N 131.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 16.2N 130.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 16.9N 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 17.7N 124.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 18.5N 120.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 133.8E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z, 170300Z, 170900Z AND 171500Z. // WP, 22, 2009101300, , BEST, 0, 88N, 1587E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 22, 2009101306, , BEST, 0, 92N, 1572E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101312, , BEST, 0, 94N, 1557E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101318, , BEST, 0, 98N, 1539E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101400, , BEST, 0, 101N, 1525E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 35, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 22, 2009101406, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1509E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101412, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1488E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101418, , BEST, 0, 110N, 1465E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 45, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101500, , BEST, 0, 117N, 1445E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 170, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, S, WP, 22, 2009101506, , BEST, 0, 121N, 1422E, 40, 993, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 50, 1009, 82, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101512, , BEST, 0, 124N, 1405E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 50, 1009, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101518, , BEST, 0, 127N, 1387E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 60, 1009, 185, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101518, , BEST, 0, 127N, 1387E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1009, 185, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, TWENTYTWO, M, WP, 22, 2009101600, , BEST, 0, 132N, 1373E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 55, 45, 45, 60, 1008, 450, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, M, WP, 22, 2009101600, , BEST, 0, 132N, 1373E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1008, 450, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, M, WP, 22, 2009101606, , BEST, 0, 139N, 1360E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 90, 80, 80, 95, 1006, 142, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101606, , BEST, 0, 139N, 1360E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 35, 1006, 142, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101612, , BEST, 0, 142N, 1343E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 85, 80, 120, 1007, 260, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, WP, 22, 2009101612, , BEST, 0, 142N, 1343E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 40, 30, 40, 1007, 260, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, LUPIT, D, NNNN