WTPN53 PGTW 011500 WARNING ATCP MIL 19W NWP 091001133431 2009100112 19W PARMA 016 02 305 12 SATL 060 T000 131N 1286E 120 R064 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 165 NW QD T012 143N 1263E 125 R064 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 115 SW QD 150 NW QD T024 156N 1245E 125 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 145 NW QD T036 167N 1232E 120 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 125 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD T048 179N 1220E 115 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 125 SE QD 125 SW QD 140 NW QD T072 192N 1211E 105 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 195N 1204E 100 T120 194N 1195E 095 AMP SUBJ: TYPHOON 19W (PARMA) WARNING NR 016 1. TYPHOON 19W (PARMA) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z --- NEAR 13.1N 128.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 128.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 14.3N 126.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 15.6N 124.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 16.7N 123.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 17.9N 122.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 19.2N 121.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 19.5N 120.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 19.4N 119.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 011500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4N 128.0E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // WP, 19, 2009092606, , BEST, 0, 100N, 1493E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 19, 2009092612, , BEST, 0, 100N, 1486E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 19, 2009092618, , BEST, 0, 100N, 1480E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 19, 2009092700, , BEST, 0, 100N, 1475E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 19, 2009092706, , BEST, 0, 99N, 1469E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 19, 2009092712, , BEST, 0, 97N, 1463E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 150, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 19, 2009092718, , BEST, 0, 95N, 1455E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, S, WP, 19, 2009092800, , BEST, 0, 94N, 1446E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 180, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, S, WP, 19, 2009092806, , BEST, 0, 93N, 1436E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 180, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, S, WP, 19, 2009092812, , BEST, 0, 93N, 1423E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 180, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, S, WP, 19, 2009092818, , BEST, 0, 87N, 1410E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1005, 230, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, S, WP, 19, 2009092900, , BEST, 0, 82N, 1398E, 40, 994, TS, 34, NEQ, 35, 25, 25, 25, 1003, 230, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, NINETEEN, S, WP, 19, 2009092906, , BEST, 0, 78N, 1389E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 35, 25, 25, 25, 1003, 230, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, S, WP, 19, 2009092912, , BEST, 0, 80N, 1382E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 35, 25, 25, 25, 1003, 230, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, S, WP, 19, 2009092918, , BEST, 0, 82N, 1375E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 50, 35, 30, 40, 1003, 250, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, M, WP, 19, 2009092918, , BEST, 0, 82N, 1375E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 20, 20, 20, 1003, 250, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, M, WP, 19, 2009093000, , BEST, 0, 90N, 1368E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 40, 45, 70, 60, 1003, 240, 25, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, M, WP, 19, 2009093000, , BEST, 0, 90N, 1368E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1003, 240, 25, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, M, WP, 19, 2009093006, , BEST, 0, 99N, 1353E, 75, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 50, 55, 75, 65, 1003, 195, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093006, , BEST, 0, 99N, 1353E, 75, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 30, 30, 1003, 195, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093006, , BEST, 0, 99N, 1353E, 75, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1003, 195, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093012, , BEST, 0, 106N, 1339E, 75, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 50, 55, 75, 65, 1003, 195, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093012, , BEST, 0, 106N, 1339E, 75, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 30, 30, 1003, 195, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093012, , BEST, 0, 106N, 1339E, 75, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1003, 195, 10, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093018, , BEST, 0, 113N, 1325E, 100, 948, TY, 34, NEQ, 70, 60, 60, 65, 1009, 460, 10, 0, 5, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093018, , BEST, 0, 113N, 1325E, 100, 948, TY, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 30, 30, 1009, 460, 10, 0, 5, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009093018, , BEST, 0, 113N, 1325E, 100, 948, TY, 64, NEQ, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1009, 460, 10, 0, 5, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100100, , BEST, 0, 118N, 1311E, 130, 926, ST, 34, NEQ, 100, 90, 90, 95, 1009, 495, 10, 160, 5, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100100, , BEST, 0, 118N, 1311E, 130, 926, ST, 50, NEQ, 60, 55, 55, 60, 1009, 495, 10, 160, 5, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100100, , BEST, 0, 118N, 1311E, 130, 926, ST, 64, NEQ, 30, 30, 30, 30, 1009, 495, 10, 160, 5, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100106, , BEST, 0, 124N, 1296E, 130, 926, ST, 34, NEQ, 145, 120, 90, 145, 1009, 495, 15, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100106, , BEST, 0, 124N, 1296E, 130, 926, ST, 50, NEQ, 75, 70, 55, 70, 1009, 495, 15, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100106, , BEST, 0, 124N, 1296E, 130, 926, ST, 64, NEQ, 50, 50, 35, 45, 1009, 495, 15, 0, 10, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100112, , BEST, 0, 131N, 1286E, 120, 933, TY, 34, NEQ, 165, 120, 120, 165, 1009, 495, 15, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100112, , BEST, 0, 131N, 1286E, 120, 933, TY, 50, NEQ, 100, 80, 70, 85, 1009, 495, 15, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, WP, 19, 2009100112, , BEST, 0, 131N, 1286E, 120, 933, TY, 64, NEQ, 60, 55, 45, 50, 1009, 495, 15, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, PARMA, D, NNNN