WTPN51 PGTW 262100 WARNING ATCP MIL 17W NWP 090926185021 2009092618 17W KETSANA 008 01 280 16 SATL 060 T000 157N 1181E 040 R034 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD T012 158N 1158E 045 R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 160N 1140E 050 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 162N 1122E 060 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD T048 166N 1106E 065 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD T072 175N 1070E 040 R034 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 055 NW QD T096 185N 1035E 020 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 17W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 008 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 15.7N 118.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 118.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 15.8N 115.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 16.0N 114.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.2N 112.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 16.6N 110.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 17.5N 107.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 18.5N 103.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 117.5E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z. // WP, 17, 2009092312, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1330E, 15, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1007, 200, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092318, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1324E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 17, 2009092400, , BEST, 0, 152N, 1315E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 170, 25, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092406, , BEST, 0, 150N, 1306E, 15, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1007, 180, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092412, , BEST, 0, 147N, 1297E, 15, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1007, 175, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092418, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1291E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 175, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092500, , BEST, 0, 141N, 1283E, 25, 998, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 17, 2009092506, , BEST, 0, 141N, 1274E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 250, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092512, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1257E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 250, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092518, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1243E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 450, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092600, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1230E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 450, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092606, , BEST, 0, 154N, 1216E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1005, 400, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, KETSANA, S, WP, 17, 2009092612, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1197E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1005, 400, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, KETSANA, S, WP, 17, 2009092618, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1181E, 40, 993, TS, 34, NEQ, 15, 15, 15, 15, 1005, 460, 15, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, KETSANA, M, NNNN