WTPN51 PGTW 260900 WARNING ATCP MIL 17W NWP 090926084327 2009092606 17W KETSANA 006 01 260 12 SATL 060 T000 154N 1218E 035 T012 156N 1187E 035 T024 156N 1165E 045 R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 157N 1146E 050 R034 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD T048 160N 1130E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 170N 1100E 065 R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 185N 1068E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 075 NW QD T120 203N 1037E 020 AMP 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 17W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z --- NEAR 15.4N 121.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 121.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 15.6N 118.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 15.6N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 15.7N 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.0N 113.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 17.0N 110.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z --- 18.5N 106.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 20.3N 103.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260900Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 121.0E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z. // WP, 17, 2009092312, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1330E, 15, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1007, 200, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092318, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1324E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 17, 2009092400, , BEST, 0, 152N, 1315E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 170, 25, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092406, , BEST, 0, 150N, 1306E, 15, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1007, 180, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092412, , BEST, 0, 147N, 1297E, 15, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1007, 175, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092418, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1291E, 20, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 175, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 17, 2009092500, , BEST, 0, 141N, 1283E, 25, 998, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 17, 2009092506, , BEST, 0, 141N, 1274E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 250, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092512, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1257E, 30, 1000, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 250, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092518, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1243E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 450, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092600, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1230E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 450, 40, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, SEVENTEEN, S, WP, 17, 2009092606, , BEST, 0, 154N, 1218E, 35, 996, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1005, 400, 35, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, KETSANA, S, NNNN