WTPN51 PGTW 152100 WARNING ATCP MIL 15W NWP 090915191229 2009091518 15W CHOI-WAN 016 01 290 08 SATL 025 T000 182N 1442E 140 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD T012 194N 1428E 145 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD T024 209N 1414E 145 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD T036 227N 1405E 145 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 155 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD T048 246N 1401E 140 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 145 NE QD 145 SE QD 135 SW QD 140 NW QD T072 296N 1415E 120 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 145 SW QD 145 NW QD T096 351N 1455E 095 T120 416N 1519E 065 AMP 120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL SUBJ: TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 016 1. TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z --- NEAR 18.2N 144.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 144.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 19.4N 142.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 20.9N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 22.7N 140.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 24.6N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 29.6N 141.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 35.1N 145.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 41.6N 151.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 152100Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 143.9E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z. // WP, 15, 2009091006, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1570E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091012, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1566E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091018, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1562E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091100, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1558E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091106, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1555E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091112, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1550E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091118, , BEST, 0, 136N, 1542E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091200, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1533E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091206, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1527E, 25, 1003, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091212, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1516E, 30, 1001, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091218, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1507E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 170, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, M, WP, 15, 2009091300, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1499E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 35, 45, 1005, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 105, 95, 75, 95, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 135, 120, 65, 90, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 105, 75, 90, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 25, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 120, 85, 100, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 35, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 34, NEQ, 115, 110, 85, 110, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 40, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 34, NEQ, 125, 120, 95, 120, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 40, 35, 45, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 130, 120, 130, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 45, 40, 45, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091500, , BEST, 0, 171N, 1467E, 125, 929, TY, 34, NEQ, 160, 120, 120, 145, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091500, , BEST, 0, 171N, 1467E, 125, 929, TY, 50, NEQ, 55, 55, 55, 55, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091500, , BEST, 0, 171N, 1467E, 125, 929, TY, 64, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091506, , BEST, 0, 176N, 1458E, 130, 926, ST, 34, NEQ, 150, 140, 120, 145, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091506, , BEST, 0, 176N, 1458E, 130, 926, ST, 50, NEQ, 90, 80, 75, 85, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091506, , BEST, 0, 176N, 1458E, 130, 926, ST, 64, NEQ, 50, 50, 50, 50, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091512, , BEST, 0, 179N, 1450E, 135, 922, ST, 34, NEQ, 160, 160, 125, 150, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091512, , BEST, 0, 179N, 1450E, 135, 922, ST, 50, NEQ, 100, 90, 70, 85, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091512, , BEST, 0, 179N, 1450E, 135, 922, ST, 64, NEQ, 55, 55, 55, 55, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091518, , BEST, 0, 182N, 1442E, 140, 918, ST, 34, NEQ, 155, 155, 130, 150, 1004, 410, 15, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091518, , BEST, 0, 182N, 1442E, 140, 918, ST, 50, NEQ, 85, 85, 80, 85, 1004, 410, 15, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091518, , BEST, 0, 182N, 1442E, 140, 918, ST, 64, NEQ, 55, 55, 55, 55, 1004, 410, 15, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, NNNN