WTPN51 PGTW 150900 WARNING ATCP MIL 15W NWP 090915071331 2009091506 15W CHOI-WAN 014 02 300 10 SATL 030 T000 176N 1458E 130 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 145 NW QD T012 185N 1444E 135 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 145 NW QD T024 197N 1429E 140 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 135 NW QD T036 211N 1416E 140 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD T048 228N 1407E 135 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 135 NW QD T072 254N 1404E 135 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 135 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 285N 1421E 130 T120 327N 1454E 110 AMP SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 014 1. SUPER TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z --- NEAR 17.6N 145.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 145.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 18.5N 144.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 19.7N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 21.1N 141.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 22.8N 140.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 25.4N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 28.5N 142.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 32.7N 145.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 150900Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 145.4E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // WP, 15, 2009091006, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1570E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091012, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1566E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091018, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1562E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091100, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1558E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091106, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1555E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091112, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1550E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091118, , BEST, 0, 136N, 1542E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091200, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1533E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091206, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1527E, 25, 1003, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091212, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1516E, 30, 1001, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091218, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1507E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 170, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, M, WP, 15, 2009091300, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1499E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 35, 45, 1005, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 105, 95, 75, 95, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 135, 120, 65, 90, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 105, 75, 90, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 25, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 120, 85, 100, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 35, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 34, NEQ, 115, 110, 85, 110, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 40, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 34, NEQ, 125, 120, 95, 120, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 40, 35, 45, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 130, 120, 130, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 45, 40, 45, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091500, , BEST, 0, 171N, 1467E, 125, 929, TY, 34, NEQ, 160, 120, 120, 145, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091500, , BEST, 0, 171N, 1467E, 125, 929, TY, 50, NEQ, 55, 55, 55, 55, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091500, , BEST, 0, 171N, 1467E, 125, 929, TY, 64, NEQ, 30, 25, 25, 30, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091506, , BEST, 0, 176N, 1458E, 130, 926, ST, 34, NEQ, 150, 140, 120, 145, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091506, , BEST, 0, 176N, 1458E, 130, 926, ST, 50, NEQ, 90, 80, 75, 85, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091506, , BEST, 0, 176N, 1458E, 130, 926, ST, 64, NEQ, 50, 50, 50, 50, 1004, 350, 20, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, NNNN