WTPN51 PGTW 142100 WARNING ATCP MIL 15W NWP 090914191951 2009091418 15W CHOI-WAN 012 02 315 06 SATL 025 T000 166N 1471E 120 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD T012 176N 1460E 130 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 105 SW QD 130 NW QD T024 187N 1447E 135 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 115 SW QD 130 NW QD T036 197N 1432E 135 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD T048 208N 1419E 140 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD T072 234N 1404E 140 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 130 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 261N 1408E 130 T120 300N 1431E 115 AMP SUBJ: TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 012 1. TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z --- NEAR 16.6N 147.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 147.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 17.6N 146.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 18.7N 144.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 19.7N 143.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 20.8N 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 23.4N 140.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 26.1N 140.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 30.0N 143.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 146.8E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // WP, 15, 2009091006, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1570E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091012, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1566E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091018, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1562E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091100, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1558E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091106, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1555E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091112, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1550E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091118, , BEST, 0, 136N, 1542E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091200, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1533E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091206, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1527E, 25, 1003, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091212, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1516E, 30, 1001, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091218, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1507E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 170, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, M, WP, 15, 2009091300, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1499E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 35, 45, 1005, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 105, 95, 75, 95, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 135, 120, 65, 90, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 105, 75, 90, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 25, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 120, 85, 100, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 35, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 34, NEQ, 115, 110, 85, 110, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 40, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 159N, 1478E, 85, 959, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 34, NEQ, 125, 120, 95, 120, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 40, 35, 45, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1475E, 100, 948, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 130, 120, 130, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 45, 40, 45, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091418, , BEST, 0, 166N, 1471E, 120, 933, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1007, 325, 20, 0, 20, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, NNNN