WTPN51 PGTW 141500 WARNING ATCP MIL 15W NWP 090914130013 2009091412 15W CHOI-WAN 011 02 305 04 SATL 060 T000 160N 1475E 090 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 168N 1466E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 178N 1452E 110 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 187N 1436E 115 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 115 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 198N 1421E 120 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD T072 218N 1402E 125 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 249N 1395E 120 T120 288N 1412E 115 AMP SUBJ: TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 011 1. TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z --- NEAR 16.0N 147.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 147.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 16.8N 146.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 17.8N 145.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 18.7N 143.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 19.8N 142.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 21.8N 140.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 24.9N 139.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 28.8N 141.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 147.3E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // WP, 15, 2009091006, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1570E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091012, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1566E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091018, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1562E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091100, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1558E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091106, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1555E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091112, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1550E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091118, , BEST, 0, 136N, 1542E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091200, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1533E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091206, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1527E, 25, 1003, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091212, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1516E, 30, 1001, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091218, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1507E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 170, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, M, WP, 15, 2009091300, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1499E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 35, 45, 1005, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 105, 95, 75, 95, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 135, 120, 65, 90, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1489E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 105, 75, 90, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 25, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 34, NEQ, 130, 120, 85, 100, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 35, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1481E, 75, 967, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1005, 250, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 158N, 1478E, 80, 963, TY, 34, NEQ, 90, 110, 85, 110, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 158N, 1478E, 80, 963, TY, 50, NEQ, 40, 35, 30, 40, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091406, , BEST, 0, 158N, 1478E, 80, 963, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 0, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 160N, 1475E, 90, 956, TY, 34, NEQ, 100, 120, 95, 120, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 160N, 1475E, 90, 956, TY, 50, NEQ, 45, 40, 35, 45, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091412, , BEST, 0, 160N, 1475E, 90, 956, TY, 64, NEQ, 25, 25, 25, 25, 1010, 300, 25, 110, 25, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, NNNN