WTPN51 PGTW 132100 WARNING ATCP MIL 15W NWP 090913201030 2009091318 15W CHOI-WAN 008 02 270 03 SATL 060 T000 157N 1485E 065 R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 105 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD T012 159N 1474E 075 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD T024 166N 1461E 090 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 125 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 174N 1447E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 125 SE QD 115 SW QD 125 NW QD T048 184N 1432E 100 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 125 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD T072 198N 1403E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 125 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 217N 1379E 115 T120 239N 1367E 115 AMP SUBJ: TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 008 1. TYPHOON 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 15W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z --- NEAR 15.7N 148.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 148.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 15.9N 147.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 16.6N 146.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 17.4N 144.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 18.4N 143.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 19.8N 140.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 21.7N 137.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 23.9N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 132100Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 148.2E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // WP, 15, 2009091006, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1570E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091012, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1566E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091018, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1562E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091100, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1558E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091106, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1555E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091112, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1550E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091118, , BEST, 0, 136N, 1542E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091200, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1533E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091206, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1527E, 25, 1003, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091212, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1516E, 30, 1001, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091218, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1507E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 170, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, M, WP, 15, 2009091300, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1499E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 60, 35, 45, 1005, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 105, 95, 75, 95, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 25, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1488E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 135, 120, 65, 90, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1488E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 30, 25, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 34, NEQ, 110, 105, 75, 90, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, WP, 15, 2009091318, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1485E, 65, 974, TY, 50, NEQ, 35, 35, 25, 25, 1005, 220, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, D, NNNN