WTPN51 PGTW 131500 WARNING ATCP MIL 15W NWP 090913132425 2009091312 15W CHOI-WAN 007 02 270 06 SATL 060 T000 157N 1487E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD T012 160N 1473E 065 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD T024 165N 1460E 070 R050 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 105 NW QD T036 172N 1446E 075 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 115 NW QD T048 179N 1434E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 115 SE QD 115 SW QD 130 NW QD T072 193N 1410E 090 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 115 SW QD 135 NW QD T096 213N 1383E 095 T120 238N 1359E 100 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z --- NEAR 15.7N 148.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 148.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 16.0N 147.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 16.5N 146.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 17.2N 144.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 17.9N 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 19.3N 141.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 21.3N 138.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 23.8N 135.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 131500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 148.4E. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // WP, 15, 2009091006, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1570E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091012, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1566E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091018, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1562E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091100, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1558E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091106, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1555E, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 15, 2009091112, , BEST, 0, 134N, 1550E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091118, , BEST, 0, 136N, 1542E, 15, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 150, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091200, , BEST, 0, 144N, 1533E, 25, 1004, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, WP, 15, 2009091206, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1527E, 25, 1003, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091212, , BEST, 0, 152N, 1519E, 30, 1001, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1009, 160, 45, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, S, WP, 15, 2009091218, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1510E, 35, 996, TS, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 170, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, FIFTEEN, M, WP, 15, 2009091300, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1500E, 45, 989, TS, 34, NEQ, 50, 50, 50, 50, 1005, 185, 30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 34, NEQ, 85, 65, 50, 90, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1493E, 55, 982, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 20, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 70, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1487E, 60, 978, TS, 34, NEQ, 85, 65, 50, 90, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, WP, 15, 2009091312, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1487E, 60, 978, TS, 50, NEQ, 20, 20, 20, 20, 1005, 185, 20, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, CHOI-WAN, M, NNNN