msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc// subj/tropical cyclone warning// rmks/ 1. Tropical depression 21w (Higos) warning nr 012 01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac Max sustained winds based on one-minute average --- warning position: 020000z --- near 15.1n 117.8e movement past six hours - 285 degrees at 14 kts position accurate to within 060 nm position based on center located by satellite present wind distribution: Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt wind radii valid over open water only repeat posit: 15.1n 117.8e --- forecasts: 12 hrs, valid at: 021200z --- 16.2n 115.8e Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 034 kt winds - 020 nm northeast quadrant 020 nm southeast quadrant 020 nm southwest quadrant 020 nm northwest quadrant vector to 24 hr posit: 310 deg/ 09 kts --- 24 hrs, valid at: 030000z --- 17.3n 114.3e Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 034 kt winds - 050 nm northeast quadrant 040 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 045 nm northwest quadrant vector to 36 hr posit: 320 deg/ 07 kts --- 36 hrs, valid at: 031200z --- 18.4n 113.3e Max sustained winds - 050 kt, gusts 065 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 034 kt winds - 075 nm northeast quadrant 065 nm southeast quadrant 065 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant vector to 48 hr posit: 340 deg/ 05 kts --- extended outlook: 48 hrs, valid at: 040000z --- 19.4n 112.9e Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant 030 nm southeast quadrant 030 nm southwest quadrant 030 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 085 nm northeast quadrant 085 nm southeast quadrant 080 nm southwest quadrant 080 nm northwest quadrant vector to 72 hr posit: 015 deg/ 05 kts --- 72 hrs, valid at: 050000z --- 21.3n 113.4e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant 030 nm southeast quadrant 030 nm southwest quadrant 030 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 070 nm southeast quadrant 065 nm southwest quadrant 065 nm northwest quadrant vector to 96 hr posit: 040 deg/ 06 kts --- long range outlook: note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity near 20 kt each day. --- 96 hrs, valid at: 060000z --- 23.2n 115.1e Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt wind radii valid over open water only dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land vector to 120 hr posit: 060 deg/ 10 kts --- 120 hrs, valid at: 070000z --- 25.3n 119.0e Max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt wind radii valid over open water only dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land --- remarks: 020300z position near 15.4n 117.3e. Tropical depression (td) 21w (Higos), located approximately 185 nm west of Manila, Philippines, has tracked west- northwestward at 14 knots over the past 06 hours. Maximum significant wave height at 020000z is 14 feet. Next warnings at 020900z, 021500z, 022100z and 030300z.// Nnnn