msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc// subj/tropical cyclone warning// rmks/ 1. Typhoon 15w (Sinlaku) warning nr 015 01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac Max sustained winds based on one-minute average --- warning position: 120000z --- near 22.8n 124.5e movement past six hours - 340 degrees at 05 kts position accurate to within 020 nm position based on eye fixed by satellite present wind distribution: Max sustained winds - 110 kt, gusts 135 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant 065 nm southeast quadrant 070 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 090 nm northeast quadrant 090 nm southeast quadrant 100 nm southwest quadrant 100 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 175 nm northeast quadrant 160 nm southeast quadrant 165 nm southwest quadrant 170 nm northwest quadrant repeat posit: 22.8n 124.5e --- forecasts: 12 hrs, valid at: 121200z --- 23.7n 124.1e Max sustained winds - 110 kt, gusts 135 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 070 nm southeast quadrant 070 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 095 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 175 nm northeast quadrant 165 nm southeast quadrant 165 nm southwest quadrant 170 nm northwest quadrant vector to 24 hr posit: 330 deg/ 05 kts --- 24 hrs, valid at: 130000z --- 24.5n 123.6e Max sustained winds - 110 kt, gusts 135 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 070 nm southeast quadrant 070 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 095 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 175 nm northeast quadrant 165 nm southeast quadrant 165 nm southwest quadrant 170 nm northwest quadrant vector to 36 hr posit: 335 deg/ 04 kts --- 36 hrs, valid at: 131200z --- 25.2n 123.2e Max sustained winds - 115 kt, gusts 140 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 070 nm southeast quadrant 070 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 095 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 180 nm northeast quadrant 170 nm southeast quadrant 170 nm southwest quadrant 175 nm northwest quadrant vector to 48 hr posit: 355 deg/ 04 kts --- extended outlook: 48 hrs, valid at: 140000z --- 25.9n 123.1e Max sustained winds - 115 kt, gusts 140 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 070 nm southeast quadrant 070 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 095 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 180 nm northeast quadrant 170 nm southeast quadrant 170 nm southwest quadrant 175 nm northwest quadrant vector to 72 hr posit: 025 deg/ 04 kts --- 72 hrs, valid at: 150000z --- 27.5n 124.0e Max sustained winds - 100 kt, gusts 125 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant 060 nm southeast quadrant 060 nm southwest quadrant 060 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 085 nm northeast quadrant 085 nm southeast quadrant 080 nm southwest quadrant 080 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 175 nm northeast quadrant 160 nm southeast quadrant 150 nm southwest quadrant 155 nm northwest quadrant vector to 96 hr posit: 055 deg/ 08 kts --- long range outlook: note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity near 20 kt each day. --- 96 hrs, valid at: 160000z --- 29.2n 127.0e Max sustained winds - 085 kt, gusts 105 kt wind radii valid over open water only becoming extratropical vector to 120 hr posit: 060 deg/ 10 kts --- 120 hrs, valid at: 170000z --- 31.2n 131.1e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only becoming extratropical --- remarks: 120300z position near 23.0n 124.4e Typhoon (TY) 15w (Sinlaku), located approximately 265 nm southwest of Naha, Okinawa, has tracked north-northwestward at 05 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height at 120000z is 35 feet. Next warnings at 120900z, 121500z, 122100z and 130300z.// Nnnn