msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc// subj/tropical cyclone warning// rmks/ 1. Typhoon 15w (Sinlaku) warning nr 011 02 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac Max sustained winds based on one-minute average --- warning position: 110000z --- near 21.0n 124.5e movement past six hours - 030 degrees at 04 kts position accurate to within 020 nm position based on eye fixed by satellite present wind distribution: Max sustained winds - 125 kt, gusts 150 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant 060 nm southeast quadrant 060 nm southwest quadrant 060 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 095 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 085 nm southwest quadrant 090 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 170 nm northeast quadrant 165 nm southeast quadrant 155 nm southwest quadrant 155 nm northwest quadrant repeat posit: 21.0n 124.5e --- forecasts: 12 hrs, valid at: 111200z --- 21.8n 124.6e Max sustained winds - 130 kt, gusts 160 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant 060 nm southeast quadrant 060 nm southwest quadrant 060 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant 100 nm southeast quadrant 090 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 175 nm northeast quadrant 170 nm southeast quadrant 160 nm southwest quadrant 160 nm northwest quadrant vector to 24 hr posit: 345 deg/ 05 kts --- 24 hrs, valid at: 120000z --- 22.7n 124.3e Max sustained winds - 130 kt, gusts 160 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant 060 nm southeast quadrant 060 nm southwest quadrant 060 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant 100 nm southeast quadrant 090 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 175 nm northeast quadrant 170 nm southeast quadrant 160 nm southwest quadrant 160 nm northwest quadrant vector to 36 hr posit: 335 deg/ 05 kts --- 36 hrs, valid at: 121200z --- 23.6n 123.8e Max sustained winds - 130 kt, gusts 160 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant 060 nm southeast quadrant 060 nm southwest quadrant 060 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant 100 nm southeast quadrant 090 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 175 nm northeast quadrant 170 nm southeast quadrant 160 nm southwest quadrant 160 nm northwest quadrant vector to 48 hr posit: 350 deg/ 05 kts --- extended outlook: 48 hrs, valid at: 130000z --- 24.5n 123.6e Max sustained winds - 125 kt, gusts 150 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant 060 nm southeast quadrant 060 nm southwest quadrant 060 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 095 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 085 nm southwest quadrant 090 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 170 nm northeast quadrant 165 nm southeast quadrant 155 nm southwest quadrant 155 nm northwest quadrant vector to 72 hr posit: 020 deg/ 05 kts --- 72 hrs, valid at: 140000z --- 26.4n 124.4e Max sustained winds - 110 kt, gusts 135 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 055 nm northeast quadrant 055 nm southeast quadrant 055 nm southwest quadrant 055 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 090 nm northeast quadrant 090 nm southeast quadrant 080 nm southwest quadrant 085 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 160 nm northeast quadrant 155 nm southeast quadrant 145 nm southwest quadrant 145 nm northwest quadrant vector to 96 hr posit: 040 deg/ 06 kts --- long range outlook: note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity near 20 kt each day. --- 96 hrs, valid at: 150000z --- 28.3n 126.1e Max sustained winds - 090 kt, gusts 110 kt wind radii valid over open water only becoming extratropical vector to 120 hr posit: 050 deg/ 09 kts --- 120 hrs, valid at: 160000z --- 30.4n 129.2e Max sustained winds - 070 kt, gusts 085 kt wind radii valid over open water only becoming extratropical --- remarks: 110300z position near 21.2n 124.5e. Typhoon (TY) 15w (Sinlaku), located approximately 355 nm south- southwest Naha, Okinawa, has tracked north-northeastward at 04 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height at 110000z is 30 feet. Next warnings at 110900z, 111500z, 112100z and 120300z. Refer to tropical storm 16w (sixteen) warnings (wtpn32 pgtw) for six-hourly updates.//