1. Typhoon 07w (Fengshen) warning nr 016 01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac Max sustained winds based on one-minute average --- warning position: 220600z --- near 15.4n 120.4e movement past six hours - 320 degrees at 08 kts position accurate to within 060 nm position based on center located by satellite present wind distribution: Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant 030 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 030 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 080 nm northeast quadrant 090 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 095 nm northwest quadrant repeat posit: 15.4n 120.4e --- forecasts: 12 hrs, valid at: 221800z --- 16.6n 119.4e Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 020 nm northeast quadrant 020 nm southeast quadrant 030 nm southwest quadrant 020 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 075 nm southeast quadrant 075 nm southwest quadrant 075 nm northwest quadrant vector to 24 hr posit: 335 deg/ 09 kts --- 24 hrs, valid at: 230600z --- 18.2n 118.7e Max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant 030 nm southeast quadrant 035 nm southwest quadrant 030 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 085 nm northeast quadrant 090 nm southeast quadrant 090 nm southwest quadrant 090 nm northwest quadrant vector to 36 hr posit: 340 deg/ 07 kts --- 36 hrs, valid at: 231800z --- 19.5n 118.2e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant 105 nm southeast quadrant 100 nm southwest quadrant 100 nm northwest quadrant vector to 48 hr posit: 360 deg/ 08 kts --- extended outlook: 48 hrs, valid at: 240600z --- 21.1n 118.2e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 040 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 105 nm northeast quadrant 110 nm southeast quadrant 105 nm southwest quadrant 100 nm northwest quadrant vector to 72 hr posit: 030 deg/ 07 kts --- 72 hrs, valid at: 250600z --- 23.4n 119.7e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 090 nm northeast quadrant 085 nm southeast quadrant 110 nm southwest quadrant 105 nm northwest quadrant vector to 96 hr posit: 040 deg/ 09 kts --- long range outlook: note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity near 20 kt each day. --- 96 hrs, valid at: 260600z --- 26.1n 122.2e Max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt wind radii valid over open water only vector to 120 hr posit: 045 deg/ 12 kts --- 120 hrs, valid at: 270600z --- 29.4n 126.0e Max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt wind radii valid over open water only becoming extratropical --- remarks: 220900z position near 15.7n 120.1e. Typhoon (TY) 07w (Fengshen), located approximately 55 nm north- west of Manila, Philippines, has tracked northwestward at 08 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height at 220600z is 14 feet. Next warnings at 221500z, 222100z, 230300z and 230900z.//