1. Tropical storm 21w (peipah) warning nr 008 downgraded from typhoon 21w 01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac Max sustained winds based on one-minute average --- warning position: 050000z --- near 17.6n 119.8e movement past six hours - 290 degrees at 11 kts position accurate to within 040 nm position based on center located by satellite present wind distribution: Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt wind radii valid over open water only dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land radius of 050 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant 030 nm southeast quadrant 030 nm southwest quadrant 030 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 085 nm southwest quadrant 110 nm northwest quadrant repeat posit: 17.6n 119.8e --- forecasts: 12 hrs, valid at: 051200z --- 17.9n 118.4e Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 035 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 095 nm northeast quadrant 080 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 110 nm northwest quadrant vector to 24 hr posit: 270 deg/ 06 kts --- 24 hrs, valid at: 060000z --- 17.9n 117.1e Max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 035 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant 085 nm southeast quadrant 090 nm southwest quadrant 105 nm northwest quadrant vector to 36 hr posit: 245 deg/ 06 kts --- 36 hrs, valid at: 061200z --- 17.4n 116.0e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant 025 nm southeast quadrant 025 nm southwest quadrant 025 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 035 nm southwest quadrant 040 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 105 nm northeast quadrant 090 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 110 nm northwest quadrant vector to 48 hr posit: 245 deg/ 07 kts --- extended outlook: 48 hrs, valid at: 070000z --- 16.8n 114.7e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant 025 nm southeast quadrant 025 nm southwest quadrant 025 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant 040 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 040 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 105 nm northeast quadrant 090 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 110 nm northwest quadrant vector to 72 hr posit: 235 deg/ 07 kts --- 72 hrs, valid at: 080000z --- 15.1n 112.2e Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant 025 nm southeast quadrant 025 nm southwest quadrant 025 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant 040 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 040 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 105 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 100 nm southwest quadrant 115 nm northwest quadrant vector to 96 hr posit: 235 deg/ 07 kts --- long range outlook: note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity near 20 kt each day. --- 96 hrs, valid at: 090000z --- 13.6n 109.9e Max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt wind radii valid over open water only vector to 120 hr posit: 255 deg/ 06 kts --- 120 hrs, valid at: 100000z --- 12.9n 107.4e Max sustained winds - 050 kt, gusts 065 kt wind radii valid over open water only --- remarks: 050300z position near 17.7n 119.4e. Tropical Storm (TS) 21w (peipah) located approximately 195 nm north-northwest of Manila, Philippines, has tracked west-north- westward at 11 knots over the past 06 hours. Maximum significant wave height at 050000z is 21 feet. Next warnings at 050900z, 051500z, 052100z and 060300z.//