187 wtpn31 pgtw 231500 subj/tropical cyclone warning// rmks/ 1. Tropical storm 15w (Francisco) warning nr 003 upgraded from tropical depression 15w 01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac Max sustained winds based on one-minute average --- warning position: 231200z --- near 19.2n 113.9e movement past six hours - 255 degrees at 09 kts position accurate to within 060 nm position based on center located by satellite present wind distribution: Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt wind radii valid over open water only repeat posit: 19.2n 113.9e --- forecasts: 12 hrs, valid at: 240000z --- 19.3n 112.2e Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 034 kt winds - 045 nm northeast quadrant 040 nm southeast quadrant 040 nm southwest quadrant 045 nm northwest quadrant vector to 24 hr posit: 280 deg/ 10 kts --- 24 hrs, valid at: 241200z --- 19.7n 110.2e Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt wind radii valid over open water only vector to 36 hr posit: 280 deg/ 11 kts --- 36 hrs, valid at: 250000z --- 20.1n 108.0e Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 034 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 030 nm southeast quadrant 030 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant vector to 48 hr posit: 285 deg/ 09 kts --- extended outlook: 48 hrs, valid at: 251200z --- 20.6n 106.1e Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt wind radii valid over open water only dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land vector to 72 hr posit: 285 deg/ 07 kts --- 72 hrs, valid at: 261200z --- 21.4n 103.1e Max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt wind radii valid over open water only dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land --- remarks: 231500z position near 19.2n 113.5e. Tropical Storm (TS) 15w (Francisco), located approximately 185 nm south of Hong Kong, has tracked west-southwestward at 09 knots over the past 06 hours. Maximum significant wave height at 231200z is 12 feet. Next warnings at 232100z, 240300z, 240900z and 241500z.//