subj/tropical cyclone warning// rmks/ 1. Tropical storm 07w (Pabuk) warning nr 002 02 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac Max sustained winds based on one-minute average --- warning position: 051200z --- near 20.2n 134.3e movement past six hours - 305 degrees at 11 kts position accurate to within 060 nm position based on center located by satellite present wind distribution: Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 034 kt winds - 055 nm northeast quadrant 045 nm southeast quadrant 045 nm southwest quadrant 055 nm northwest quadrant repeat posit: 20.2n 134.3e --- forecasts: 12 hrs, valid at: 060000z --- 21.0n 131.7e Max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 050 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 035 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 090 nm northeast quadrant 075 nm southeast quadrant 075 nm southwest quadrant 090 nm northwest quadrant vector to 24 hr posit: 280 deg/ 12 kts --- 24 hrs, valid at: 061200z --- 21.3n 129.1e Max sustained winds - 070 kt, gusts 085 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant 025 nm southeast quadrant 025 nm southwest quadrant 030 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 060 nm northeast quadrant 050 nm southeast quadrant 050 nm southwest quadrant 060 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 110 nm northeast quadrant 095 nm southeast quadrant 095 nm southwest quadrant 110 nm northwest quadrant vector to 36 hr posit: 280 deg/ 10 kts --- 36 hrs, valid at: 070000z --- 21.6n 126.9e Max sustained winds - 090 kt, gusts 110 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 035 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 070 nm southeast quadrant 070 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 140 nm northeast quadrant 125 nm southeast quadrant 125 nm southwest quadrant 140 nm northwest quadrant vector to 48 hr posit: 290 deg/ 10 kts --- extended outlook: 48 hrs, valid at: 071200z --- 22.3n 124.8e Max sustained winds - 105 kt, gusts 130 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 045 nm northeast quadrant 045 nm southeast quadrant 045 nm southwest quadrant 045 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 080 nm northeast quadrant 080 nm southeast quadrant 080 nm southwest quadrant 080 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 160 nm northeast quadrant 160 nm southeast quadrant 160 nm southwest quadrant 160 nm northwest quadrant vector to 72 hr posit: 305 deg/ 10 kts --- 72 hrs, valid at: 081200z --- 24.5n 121.0e Max sustained winds - 080 kt, gusts 100 kt wind radii valid over open water only radius of 064 kt winds - 035 nm northeast quadrant 035 nm southeast quadrant 035 nm southwest quadrant 035 nm northwest quadrant radius of 050 kt winds - 070 nm northeast quadrant 070 nm southeast quadrant 070 nm southwest quadrant 070 nm northwest quadrant radius of 034 kt winds - 140 nm northeast quadrant 135 nm southeast quadrant 135 nm southwest quadrant 135 nm northwest quadrant vector to 96 hr posit: 315 deg/ 09 kts --- long range outlook: note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity near 20 kt each day. --- 96 hrs, valid at: 091200z --- 27.1n 118.1e Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt wind radii valid over open water only dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land vector to 120 hr posit: 320 deg/ 08 kts --- 120 hrs, valid at: 101200z --- 29.6n 115.5e Max sustained winds - 025 kt, gusts 035 kt wind radii valid over open water only dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land --- remarks: 051500z position near 20.4n 133.6e. Tropical Storm (TS) 07w (Pabuk) located approximately 510 nm south- east of Naha, Okinawa, has tracked northwestward at 11 knots over the past 06 hours. Maximum significant wave height at 051200z is 14 feet. Next warnings at 052100z, 060300z, 060900z and 061500z. Refer to tropical depression 06w (noname) warnings (wtpn32 pgtw) for six- hourly updates. //