WTPN31 PGTW 131500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 8.3N1 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.1N0 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 9.9N8 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 10.5N6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 10.8N9 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 10.7N8 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 8.5N3 145.2E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TD 02W IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE GOOD AS EVIDENCED BY THE RADIAL SPIRAL BANDS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8, 140900Z4 AND 141500Z1.// NNNN