WTPN33 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (AERE) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.5N4 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.7N7 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.5N7 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.2N5 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.9N2 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.0N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.3N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.7N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 132.5E1. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (AERE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 545 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT WHILE THE OVERALL CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN COVERAGE, THE CLOUD TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED INDICATING CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 19W (CHABA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN