WTPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 19W (CHABA) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 14.8N3 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.8N4 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.9N6 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 165 KT, GUSTS 200 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.1N0 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 170 KT, GUSTS 205 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 19.9N9 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 170 KT, GUSTS 205 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 22.6N0 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 165 KT, GUSTS 200 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 26.2N0 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 32.0N5 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.6N2 144.4E3. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 19W (CHABA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM NORTH OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. A RECENT 221454Z8 SURFACE OBSERVATION AT SAIPAN REPORTED WINDS AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE EYE HAS BECOME SMALLER AND CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY SYMMETRIC AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (AERE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//