WTPN32 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 19W (CHABA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 14.1N6 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.4N9 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.3N9 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.5N2 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.8N6 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 20.6N8 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.1N8 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.5N9 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 149.6E0. TYPHOON (TY) 19W (CHABA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS AS WELL AS A UW CIMSS 210829Z2 AMSU MSLP FIX THAT CORRESPONDS TO 70 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. A 211049Z7 SSMI PASS DEPICTS A 40 NM IRREGULAR EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (AERE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN