WTPN31 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 10W (MINDULLE) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 18.4N3 125.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 125.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.6N5 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 18.7N6 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 18.8N7 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.5N5 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 21.5N8 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 23.9N4 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 26.1N9 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 125.4E2. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MINDULLE) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115 AND 125 KNOTS AS WELL AS THE UW CIMSS ADVANCED MICROWAVE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 112 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH EYE BECOMING MORE SYMMETRICAL AND BETTER DEFINED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6, 282100Z3, 290300Z4 AND 290900Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TINGTING) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN