WDPN31 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING /NR 26// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 110000Z2 TO 121200Z6 JUN 2004. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 07W CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF JAPAN. TS 07W HAS INCREASED SPEED AS IT CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TS 07W IS RAPIDLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE TRANSITION WITHIN 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, JGSM, JTYM, EGRR, COAMPS, WBAR, AFWA MM5 AND TCLAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTANCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST TEAM: DIXON/PITTS/MENEBROKER/FUNK/LEWIN// NNNN