WTPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 04W (NIDA) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 12.5N8 125.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 125.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.3N8 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.2N9 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 18.0N9 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.8N8 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.6N2 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 32.6N1 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 39.6N8 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 13.0N4 125.5E3. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 04W (NIDA) LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 125.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. A 161102Z1 MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED EYE AND BANDING FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MATURE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN