WTPN31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 04W (NIDA) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 11.8N0 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.6N0 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.5N1 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.3N1 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 19.1N1 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 23.5N0 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 32.3N8 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 42.0N6 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.3N6 126.1E0. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 04W (NIDA), LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 126.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 127 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN