WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 15.0N6 123.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 123.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.9N5 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.2N0 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.5N4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.9N9 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.6N0 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 123.6E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIR- CULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SUGGESTING THAT THE SYSTEM MAY BE DECOUPLING AND GETTING SOME INCREASED WESTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7.// NNNN