WTPN31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 026 UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 12.4N7 136.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 136.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 12.9N2 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.6N0 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.2N7 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.9N4 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.6N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 19.5N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 24.3N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.5N8 136.4E4. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS AND LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT AN INCREASE IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7, 261500Z4, 262100Z1 AND 270300Z2.// NNNN