WTPN32 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 24.8N4 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.7N5 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.3N3 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.9N0 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 30.7N0 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 32.4N9 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.2N1 174.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION NEAR 25.3N0 148.9E2. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN 18 NM EYE AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH WARMER CORE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4, 300300Z6, 300900Z2 AND 301500Z9.// NNNN