WTPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201051ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 20.4N6 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.5N8 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.6N0 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 23.8N3 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 25.7N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 28.0N0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 142.8E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAIR OUTFLOW WITH MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 201051Z OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 201100). NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN