WTPN31 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 18.8N7 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.7N7 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.7N9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.9N2 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.4N9 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.4N3 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.0N4 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 34.1N8 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 132.6E2. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BANDING EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN