WTPN32 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 15W WARNING NR 002    
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   060000Z6 --- NEAR 14.7N2 141.9E5
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM 
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 141.9E5
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z9 --- 15.7N3 140.1E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM 
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z7 --- 16.6N3 138.5E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM 
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM 
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   071200Z0 --- 17.4N2 136.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM 
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM 
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z8 --- 18.4N3 134.7E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM 
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM 
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z9 --- 20.4N6 132.0E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM 
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM 
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
   NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
   ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
   NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   100000Z1 --- 22.5N9 130.7E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   110000Z2 --- 25.1N8 129.8E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 141.5E1.  
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A
40 KNOT QUIKSCAT OBSERVATION, AND SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION IN THE
MID-LEVELS, WHILE THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD BANDS REMAIN
BROAD WHICH MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE SURFACE
CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
060000Z6 IS 10 FEET.  REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5,
061500Z2, 062100Z9 AND 070300Z0.//

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