WTPN32 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 14.0N5 138.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 138.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.6N2 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.9N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.1N0 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.4N4 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.3N9 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 29.4N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.2N8 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.4N9 138.4E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 11W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT ENJOYS GOOD EQUATORWARD FLOW. A RECENT 031027Z3 SSMI PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT WITH A .6 SPIRAL WRAP. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6, 040300Z7, 040900Z3 AND 041500Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 NNNN