UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 10.3N4 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.4N6 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.3N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.1N5 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.6N0 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.3N8 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 132.8E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS WEAKENED AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN INFRARED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// NNNN