UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 8.1N9 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N9 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 9.0N9 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 9.9N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 10.9N0 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 11.7N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 12.4N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 8.3N1 130.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY DECREASED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS AND SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EVIDENT OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// NNNN