WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W (BAVI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 16.6N3 149.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 149.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.5N4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 20.2N4 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.7N0 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 23.2N7 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 27.2N1 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 149.5E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND 101138Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MICROWAVE IMAGERY AT 100949Z3, 100952Z7 AND 101138Z4 DEPICT A DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURE TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A STRONGER BANDING FEATURE REMAINING IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE LLCC REMAINS BROAD AND SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN ENHANCED INFRARED, HOWEVER CONSOLIDATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION TOWARDS THE CENTER HAS CONTINUED TO PROGRESS OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4, 110300Z5, 110900Z1 AND 111500Z8.// NNNN